CAC RELEASES UPDATED 2021 CROP VOLUME AND HARVEST PROJECTIONS
In December 2020 CAC staff conducted a survey of AMRIC Handlers requesting crop volume and harvest timing projections for the 2021 crop year. The results of those surveys yielded a total crop volume of 317 million pounds, all varieties, with projections of April through July for peak harvest volumes. Due to weather events occurring in December 2020 and January 2021, CAC conducted a second pre-season survey in mid-February to ascertain the impact to crop volume and harvest projections. The February 2021 survey resulted in a reduction of 25 million pounds to the Hass crop, bringing the pre-season estimate to 292 million pounds for all varieties. Despite this eight-percent reduction in crop volume, due to a later start to the season than originally anticipated, there is minimal impact expected to the peak California avocado season of April through July and even into August.
While early-season crop harvest was minimal in January and early-February, stabilizing market conditions have led to increased California harvest over the last two weeks. As of week ending 2/21/2021 calendar year-to-date harvest totaled three million pounds, with half of that volume picked during week ending 2/21/2021. It is estimated another 3.5 million pounds were harvested the last week of February, leaving about 286 million pounds to be harvested from March through October. The updated 2021 crop projections indicate peak California season has remained unchanged from the December 2020 projections, with promotable harvest expected April through August.
CAC will conduct the mid-season grower crop survey, as well as AMRIC Handler survey, in April 2021 to get an update on total crop volume and make any necessary adjustments to weekly harvest projections. The results of these surveys will be available in May 2021.