2021 California Crop Estimate and Harvest Projections Released

  • Dec 15, 2020

The California Avocado Commission has published the 2021 California Avocado Pre-Season Crop Estimate and weekly harvest projections for the calendar year (January 1st through December 31st). The estimate and projections are the result of handler surveys submitted in early December 2020 and represent the industry’s best information on the coming season’s crop at this time.

2021 CA Avocado Crop Volume Estimate

Further details of the estimate and harvest projections can be found online and includes the following information:

  • Pre-season industry volume estimates, broken down by variety, based on AMRIC Handler survey responses
  • Weekly harvest forecast utilizing AMRIC Handler Survey percentages for Hass variety (4-year historical forecast used for Lamb, 2-year historical used for Gem and other)
  • Weekly harvest forecast comparison of 4-year historical forecast versus AMRIC Handler Survey

The Commission staff will remain in contact with growers, handlers and grove managers throughout the season, via surveys and telephone conversations, to track harvest strategy and will provide updated forecasts to the industry as they become available. As we have done in the past, CAC will plan to follow up with the handlers in February to discuss crop volume and harvest plans before the season gets underway.

In addition to handler surveys and discussions, the annual grower crop survey and acreage inventory survey will be conducted in Spring 2021, with a mid-season crop estimate update available mid-May 2021.

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